As the decisive technology of our age AI following an exponential trajectory will transform every part of our economy and change our society. Let's take a look at what has happened so far, the status quo and what to expect in the coming years.
Intelligence as a commodity
Algorithmic progress as well as technical scaling laws lead to an exponential descrease of the cost of artificial intelligence. o1-level intelligence with reduced pricing opens up much more use-cases. How will the iso-intelligence line for o3 look like, we might find out in a few days.
Saturating all benchmarks
Average human capabilities are under siege as every months new benchmarks are saturated by AI.
Convergence of projections
More and more AI progress projections estimate that in 2027 the earliest the AI self-improvement feedback loop could be closed leading to rapid advancement in capabilities.
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